CAMERON TURNING TABLES
United Kingdom’s Prime Minister David Cameron’s
with his speech on Europe last week seems to have turned the tables on most if
not all of his domestic political opponents.
Let’s check:
Labour: The
opposition is in a quandary. Actually, Labour is in a loose-loose situation. If
it opposes Cameron’s plan, it will run counter the feelings of most British
people who feel they’ve got too enmeshed in the and by the EU. If it goes along
with Cameron, it will be reduced to the role of chaperon and unable to
effectively oppose the ruling party.
Liberals: If the
Liberals were not able to influence the Conservatives stance on this issue in
2013, now that they are a coalition partner, their leverage in 2015 should be
close to naught, since it is a statistical improbability that there will be
another hung-Parliament. Furthermore, it is hard to oppose a referendum, even
if you hate the eventual consequences.
UKIP: Well, the
best they could come up with was a question of timing: 2015 is too late. I do
not think that the electorate will give much importance to that. Actually, this
referendum hangs like a death sentence over the UKIP. If Cameron can present to
the electorate a palatable relationship between London and Brussels (or Berlin)
and win the vote, half of UKIP’s platform will be null and void….
Conservative backbenchers:
This lot is outright happy. And so is David Cameron who guaranteed a fully
unified Conservative Party heading for the election.
David Cameron’s speech was a smart and well-timed
move that should help him secure a more robust victory in the next election.
However, certain ifs must materialize for the plan to be fully successful:
1- The
British economy must improve.
2- He
must reach a decent and substantial arrangement with the EU.
3- He
will have to prevail in the referendum.
If David Cameron can pull this off, he will go down in History. If he
does not, he risks going down… the drain.
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