Mostrar mensagens com a etiqueta Brexit. Mostrar todas as mensagens
Mostrar mensagens com a etiqueta Brexit. Mostrar todas as mensagens

13 dezembro, 2019

Get Brexit Done


GET BREXIT DONE


 
Boris Johnson’s outstanding victory.
in BBC News at www.bbc.com/news

The Conservative Party won a crushing majority in yesterday’s election. The Labour Party went back to 1935 figures. Unlike Theresa May, Boris Johnson took a risk and was abundantly rewarded with the election of 364/65 Tory MPs, the largest Westminster majority since Margaret Thatcher’s 1987 victory.

Finally, one sees the light at the end of the Brexit tunnel. It is really incredible the dragging of this vital issue which was formally set off on 30th March 2017, over 30 months ago. Hopefully, Boris Johnson will wrap up this annoying issue asap, enabling the United Kingdom and all the rest to move forward.

A final word to the sore losers of the Brexit referendum. They got their cherished second referendum and…they lost again and they lost it big time. Hopefully they will finally get over it, too.

30 abril, 2017

The Age of Hysteria



THE AGE OF HYSTERIA


One of the most unnerving and annoying features of the current decade is the state of quasi-permanent hysteria that significant segments of Western societies engage in.

Russia gets back Crimea and suddenly there is an army of worriers worrying that an army of warriors is about to wage war all over Eastern Europe. Three years have passed and there is not the slightest indication of war, yet. Notwithstanding, there is a flurry of hysterical articles about countering a Russian invasion of Estonia, or about defending Lithuania, or propping up Polish capabilities, all in the name of a non-invasion, of a war that will not be.

The Brexit referendum propelled another wave of hysteria. The British people actually voted to leave and all hell broke loose: the United Kingdom’s economy was about to collapse, the Scots would flee and so would other EU members; the UK would be confined to utter isolation and destitution. It has been almost a year, the UK is doing well, the EU is otherwise intact and non-performing as usual and there is no kingdom come.

The hysteria crowd would reach unparalleled heights with Donald Trump’s triumph in the United States’ presidential election. In the space of less than 6 months, the second impossibility actually happened. Like Brexit, this one has apocalyptic dimensions, the end of the world as we know it. Accordingly, the hysteria crowd reacted angrily and lived up to their reputation of not being tolerant, just self-tolerant, and tried to subvert the democratic election’s results. Like in Great Britain, they failed. It was almost 6 months ago and the world moves on and the civilisation did not crumble.

Next apocalypse-in-waiting was the Italian referendum in which a “NO” vote would put Italy on the euro exit path and would wreak havoc across the EU. The “NO” vote did win by a very wide margin. All the rest, predictably, did not happen.

Even the hapless Austrian election to an almost powerless presidency managed to sow despair in the hysteria-addicted crowd. The mainstream candidates were defeated, but the fact that the winner was green, gave the aforementioned crowd some relief.

Do not fear though: 2017 is a promising one for the hysteria crowd. The elections in The Netherlands provided hysteric fodder for the first quarter. Geert Wilders’ PVV victory prospects spread panic across Europe and to some in North America and Trump’s victory loomed as a nasty omen, as if the Dutch would think of and be conditioned by the US elections whilst they were at the voting booth. The PVV, which could never have formed a government, finished second and many sighed in relief, failing to see the bigger picture of the Dutch elections.

So, barely pausing to take a breath, the hysteria crowd went nuts with France’s presidential elections. Never mind that Marine Le Pen’s chances (like Wilders’) are very slim given the electoral system and the arbitrary and hypocritical opprobrium to which they are subjected. At least until the 7th May the hysteria crowd will be kept high with the Le Pen threat. Assuming that the next Merkel minion wins, they will go into deprivation since the next bout of hysteria, save from some unexpected stressor, is only scheduled for September in Germany.

The hysteria crowd based in politics, the media and some liberal and/or left wing institutions, NGO’s, think tanks and assorted pressure groups is going to cry wolf every time an event skews away from their pre-determined line of so-called progress. And when that is not the case, they just make it up, exaggerate it, or distort it until they reach a new hysterical state which is both deranged and a tool to forward their goals.

I find the Age of Hysteria disgusting and obnoxious and their zealot practitioners obviously have serious problems, without which they do not seem to be able to survive. Even more problematic than going hysterical, is their zealotry and intolerance in promoting the agenda they portray as unique, without alternative. There are always alternatives.

30 março, 2017

Brexit Day 1



BREXIT DAY 1


 
Theresa May signs the letter triggering article 50.
in BBC News at www.bbc.com/news

Yesterday, Brexit was finally officially kick-started. Now follows two years of hard-fought, occasionally acrimonious negotiations. It is hard to predict the outcome other than the obvious United Kingdom exit from the EU.

Going through some analyses, one gets the sense that anything that could go bad will hurt the UK solo; as if on the other side of the table were an immutable entity, existing in an impregnable bubble. That is obviously not the case. Even admitting that the UK is weaker (and more homogeneous and flexible), it is clear that both sides stand to win or lose significantly depending on things turning out for the better or for the worse.

Theresa May triggered article 50 with a very conciliatory and friendly letter, striving to start the negotiations on a cordial basis, even if she also included a quid pro quo (no trade deal, no security cooperation) which was a reminder that London also has some trumps up the sleeve.

Nevertheless it will be a rough path and it will require a lot of courage and determination of the Prime Minister who will be facing some vengeful federalist zealots abroad and a fair share of whiners at home of the Liberal leader’s type who thinks that leaving the EU skews the voters’ choice (seriously?) and who defends the possibility (???) of the UK not leaving the EU, in spite of the British people’s democratic will to do exactly the opposite.

In the end, as Theresa May said, “there can be no turning back.” One way or the other, the United Kingdom will leave the EU.

29 outubro, 2016

Brexit Posturing



BREXIT POSTURING

 Whilst we wait for the real (or the formal) Brexit negotiations to begin, we can watch some chest thumping, listen to some threatening declarations, tempered by some more contemporising ones and complemented by some warning shots.

 
The road to Brexit.
in “THE ECONOMIST” at www.economist.com

This issue popped as a theme for a post after some wild statements by Robert Fico, Slovakia’s Prime Minister. Probably infatuated for holding the (increasingly irrelevant) EU’s 6-month presidency, Mr. Fico threatened that the Visegrad countries (Hungary, Poland, the Czech Republic and Slovakia) could veto the Brexit deal over immigration issues: “No room for compromise”, he crowed from the top of his smallness. Earlier, he had told the “Financial Times” that the EU is going to make the Brexit very painful as a lesson for the United Kingdom and as a warning to other prospective leavers.

I really do not know who Mr. Fico thinks he is, but he is clearly over his head and seemingly unaware of Slovakia’s political weight, or lack thereof, within the European Union. On one side of the table is the 5th largest economy in the world and on the other side there will be a Frenchman representing the EU, seconded by a German. So, as expected, it will be up to Europe’s three heavyweights to hammer out the major contours of the Brexit deal. Of course, the other 25 nations will also play a role, especially the likes of Italy, The Netherlands, Poland, Spain, or Sweden (no, Slovakia will not be on this short list) and others will try to promote specific agendas of their own, but the key lies in London, Berlin and Paris.

Meanwhile, this October, the British started conveying their own messages, also aiming at conditioning the negotiations. Of these, I found most striking the enunciation of London’s supposed four red lines. Accordingly, the UK wants to:

            * Stop making contributions to the EU budget.

            * Regain full legislative sovereignty to Westminster.

            * Break free from the jurisdiction of the European Court of Justice.

            * Have an independent immigration policy.

This is not an official stand, so it should be viewed as part posturing and not necessarily how things will play out, but it nevertheless sheds some light on London’s probable stance on some of Brexit’s major issues.

Finally, going back to where we started, the biggest irony of all is watching Mr. Fico, a staunch opponent of immigration to Slovakia, emerging as the leading crusader of Slovakian emigration to the UK! Poor, incoherent Mr. Fico.